Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000522 0.000566 0.000611 0.000661 0.000716 0.000773 0.000838
2026-01-25 0.000457 0.000518 0.000583 0.000659 0.000745 0.000839 0.000951
2026-02-01 0.000404 0.000474 0.000553 0.000647 0.000758 0.000884 0.001039
2026-02-08 0.000364 0.000441 0.000529 0.000638 0.000771 0.000926 0.001121
2026-02-15 0.000333 0.000414 0.000509 0.000631 0.000782 0.000964 0.001199
2026-02-22 0.000307 0.000390 0.000492 0.000624 0.000792 0.000999 0.001274
2026-03-01 0.000285 0.000370 0.000477 0.000618 0.000802 0.001033 0.001346
2026-03-08 0.000264 0.000350 0.000459 0.000607 0.000803 0.001055 0.001403
2026-03-15 0.000246 0.000332 0.000444 0.000598 0.000806 0.001078 0.001462
2026-03-22 0.000228 0.000313 0.000425 0.000583 0.000799 0.001088 0.001502
2026-03-29 0.000213 0.000298 0.000412 0.000574 0.000801 0.001107 0.001555
2026-04-05 0.000203 0.000288 0.000403 0.000571 0.000810 0.001138 0.001624
2026-04-12 0.000193 0.000279 0.000397 0.000573 0.000827 0.001182 0.001717
2026-04-19 0.000183 0.000269 0.000389 0.000571 0.000838 0.001219 0.001803
2026-04-26 0.000171 0.000256 0.000376 0.000561 0.000838 0.001238 0.001863
2026-05-03 0.000161 0.000244 0.000365 0.000553 0.000840 0.001260 0.001928
2026-05-10 0.000152 0.000234 0.000355 0.000547 0.000843 0.001285 0.001997
2026-05-17 0.000144 0.000225 0.000346 0.000541 0.000846 0.001309 0.002067
2026-05-24 0.000136 0.000217 0.000338 0.000536 0.000850 0.001334 0.002137
2026-05-31 0.000128 0.000207 0.000327 0.000526 0.000847 0.001346 0.002189
2026-06-07 0.000121 0.000198 0.000318 0.000518 0.000846 0.001363 0.002247
2026-06-14 0.000114 0.000188 0.000306 0.000505 0.000835 0.001364 0.002280
2026-06-21 0.000108 0.000181 0.000298 0.000497 0.000833 0.001378 0.002335